However, it is also evident that delays in commencing the Ukrainian offensive are providing Russia with increased opportunity to target Ukrainian capability - from both a military and civilian standpoint.īell explains that Russian forces also appear to have culminated in the eastern region of Bakhmut and are now focused on disrupting Ukrainian preparations for the forthcoming 'spring' offensive. This increases the chances of Ukrainian military success. Targeting Kyiv is an effort to undermine Ukraine's public morale but it reduces the opportunity to target Ukraine's military capability. Looking at why Russia is taking this course of action, Bell explains that President Vladimir Putin does not have military training or experience but he is evidently directing the priorities amid the war. This is in turn is wasting valuable military capability. This is not something the Russian forces are very capable of achieving, Bell states, and instead Russia is using its limited supplies of missiles and drones to target the Ukraine capital. The process relies on close teamwork between all elements in the targeting chain.Īnd the West has invested significant resources - technology and people - to optimise this capability. Satellite imagery is handled by the country's military headquarters and then the targets are allocated to units on the ground. Military analyst Sean Bell notes that military targets are usually hidden or mobile and therefore slick 'sensor to shooter' capability is required to target them. So why are Russia ramping up their strikes and will this help them? Russia has been conducting its heaviest wave of attacks on the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv over the last couple of days.

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